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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 24.4 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona 0–0 Pisa | 0.06–0.82 | 3% · 44% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Pisa had 54% |
| Genoa 2–3 Napoli | 1.36–2.48 | 20% · 18% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Fiorentina 2–2 Torino | 1.53–0.96 | 51% · 26% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Fiorentina had 51% |
| Bologna 0–1 Parma | 1.11–0.18 | 61% · 33% · 6% | Won against the xG: Parma |
| Lecce 2–1 Udinese | 1.47–0.88 | 51% · 26% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Lecce |
| Sassuolo 0–5 Inter | 0.78–2.57 | 9% · 15% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Juventus 2–2 Lazio | 2.81–1.17 | 71% · 15% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Juventus had 71% |
| Atalanta 2–1 Cremonese | 1.78–0.63 | 65% · 22% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Atalanta |
| AS Roma 2–0 Cagliari | 1.23–0.50 | 54% · 30% · 15% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| AC Milan 1–1 Como | 0.77–1.33 | 22% · 28% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.