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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 21.5 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo 3–0 Hellas Verona | 2.00–0.71 | 68% · 20% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Sassuolo |
| Juventus 0–2 Como | 0.83–1.38 | 23% · 28% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Lecce 0–2 Inter | 0.12–2.46 | 1% · 10% · 89% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Cagliari 0–0 Lazio | 0.58–0.64 | 27% · 42% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Genoa 3–0 Torino | 1.88–0.60 | 68% · 21% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Genoa |
| Atalanta 2–1 Napoli | 0.90–1.08 | 30% · 31% · 39% | Close call, Atalanta won |
| AC Milan 0–1 Parma | 1.54–0.46 | 64% · 25% · 11% | Won against the xG: Parma |
| AS Roma 3–0 Cremonese | 2.01–0.06 | 85% · 14% · 1% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Fiorentina 1–0 Pisa | 1.82–0.28 | 76% · 19% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Fiorentina |
| Bologna 1–0 Udinese | 1.51–0.60 | 59% · 26% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.