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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 25.7 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma 1–1 Cagliari | 1.31–0.52 | 56% · 29% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Parma had 56% |
| Como 3–1 Lecce | 3.29–0.24 | 93% · 6% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Hellas Verona 1–2 Napoli | 0.31–0.68 | 15% · 45% · 40% | Close call, Napoli won |
| Inter 2–0 Genoa | 1.61–0.21 | 73% · 22% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Cremonese 0–2 AC Milan | 0.99–3.64 | 6% · 9% · 85% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Sassuolo 2–1 Atalanta | 1.52–3.18 | 15% · 15% · 70% | Won against the xG: Sassuolo |
| Torino 2–0 Lazio | 0.71–1.05 | 24% · 33% · 43% | Won against the xG: Torino |
| AS Roma 3–3 Juventus | 1.65–1.36 | 44% · 24% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Pisa 0–1 Bologna | 0.47–0.64 | 23% · 44% · 34% | Close call, Bologna won |
| Udinese 3–0 Fiorentina | 1.58–0.73 | 58% · 25% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Udinese |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.