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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 24.3 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli 2–1 Torino | 1.04–0.67 | 44% · 33% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Cagliari 1–2 Como | 0.46–0.55 | 24% · 46% · 30% | Close call, Como won |
| Atalanta 2–2 Udinese | 1.67–0.68 | 61% · 24% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Atalanta had 61% |
| Juventus 4–0 Pisa | 2.89–0.45 | 87% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Lecce 2–1 Cremonese | 1.60–1.06 | 50% · 25% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Lecce |
| Bologna 1–2 Hellas Verona | 1.30–2.00 | 25% · 22% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Hellas Verona |
| Fiorentina 0–0 Parma | 1.42–0.25 | 68% · 26% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Fiorentina had 68% |
| Genoa 2–1 AS Roma | 2.75–0.35 | 87% · 10% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Genoa |
| AC Milan 1–0 Inter | 0.85–1.02 | 29% · 32% · 39% | Close call, AC Milan won |
| Lazio 2–1 Sassuolo | 2.55–0.72 | 77% · 15% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.