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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 25.7 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino 4–1 Parma | 2.20–0.56 | 75% · 17% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Torino |
| Inter 1–1 Atalanta | 1.54–1.11 | 47% · 25% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Napoli 2–1 Lecce | 1.28–1.29 | 36% · 27% · 37% | Close call, Napoli won |
| Udinese 0–1 Juventus | 0.68–3.34 | 4% · 9% · 87% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Hellas Verona 0–2 Genoa | 0.30–0.59 | 16% · 49% · 36% | Close call, Genoa won |
| Pisa 3–1 Cagliari | 2.47–1.18 | 66% · 18% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Pisa |
| Sassuolo 0–1 Bologna | 0.49–1.00 | 18% · 35% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Como 2–1 AS Roma | 1.86–0.86 | 61% · 22% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Lazio 1–0 AC Milan | 0.41–1.40 | 11% · 27% · 62% | Won against the xG: Lazio |
| Cremonese 1–4 Fiorentina | 1.43–1.69 | 33% · 24% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Fiorentina |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.