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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 29.2 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter 4–1 Monza | 1.05–1.23 | 31% · 28% · 40% | Close call, Inter won |
| Udinese 1–1 Como | 2.14–1.50 | 52% · 21% · 27% | Draw against the xG: Udinese had 52% |
| Genoa 0–2 Napoli | 0.67–0.77 | 28% · 38% · 34% | Close call, Napoli won |
| Parma 0–1 Cagliari | 0.75–0.94 | 28% · 34% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Cagliari |
| Frosinone 0–1 Juventus | 0.41–2.18 | 6% · 16% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Venezia 0–2 Lecce | 2.05–2.70 | 30% · 18% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Lecce |
| Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo | 0.88–2.70 | 10% · 15% · 76% | Won against the xG: Atalanta |
| Torino 1–2 AC Milan | 1.29–2.15 | 22% · 21% · 57% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Bologna 0–1 Lazio | 1.78–0.63 | 65% · 22% · 13% | Won against the xG: Lazio |
| AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina | 3.07–0.35 | 90% · 8% · 2% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.