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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 27.8 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan 2–0 Venezia | 2.21–0.80 | 70% · 18% · 12% | Win in line with xG for AC Milan |
| Fiorentina 0–3 Frosinone | 2.13–1.11 | 61% · 20% · 19% | Won against the xG: Frosinone |
| Monza 2–3 Udinese | 1.70–0.98 | 54% · 24% · 22% | Won against the xG: Udinese |
| Sassuolo 2–1 Torino | 1.85–1.26 | 51% · 23% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Sassuolo |
| Juventus 2–0 Parma | 1.58–0.25 | 71% · 23% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Napoli 1–2 Como | 1.39–1.05 | 45% · 27% · 28% | Won against the xG: Como |
| Cagliari 0–1 Inter | 0.48–3.67 | 2% · 6% · 92% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| Lazio 1–0 Genoa | 1.62–0.42 | 67% · 23% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
| Lecce 0–4 AS Roma | 0.80–3.27 | 6% · 10% · 84% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Atalanta 1–0 Bologna | 0.15–1.05 | 5% · 35% · 60% | Won against the xG: Atalanta |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.