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10 of 10 matches with xG: 33 goals from 31.3 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa 1–4 Como | 0.78–1.78 | 16% · 23% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Fiorentina 1–2 Torino | 1.67–0.58 | 64% · 24% · 13% | Won against the xG: Torino |
| Inter 3–2 Napoli | 3.86–2.43 | 64% · 14% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
| AS Roma 2–1 Atalanta | 2.97–0.70 | 83% · 11% · 6% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Frosinone 3–2 Venezia | 1.90–2.17 | 35% · 20% · 45% | Close call, Frosinone won |
| Parma 1–1 Monza | 0.73–1.72 | 16% · 23% · 61% | Draw against the xG: Monza had 61% |
| Bologna 2–2 Sassuolo | 1.88–1.62 | 44% · 22% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Juventus 1–1 AC Milan | 1.59–0.11 | 76% · 22% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Juventus had 76% |
| Cagliari 1–0 Lecce | 1.61–0.50 | 65% · 24% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Cagliari |
| Udinese 1–2 Lazio | 0.85–1.83 | 17% · 22% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Lazio |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.