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10 of 10 matches with xG: 39 goals from 32.2 xG (1.21 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia 2–4 Fiorentina | 0.49–3.31 | 3% · 8% · 90% | Win in line with xG for Fiorentina |
| Genoa 1–1 Frosinone | 1.88–1.93 | 38% · 21% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lazio 2–2 AC Milan | 2.01–1.25 | 55% · 22% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Lazio had 55% |
| Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari | 1.74–1.32 | 47% · 23% · 29% | Won against the xG: Cagliari |
| Lecce 3–2 Monza | 1.08–2.79 | 12% · 15% · 73% | Won against the xG: Lecce |
| Napoli 1–0 Bologna | 1.19–0.29 | 60% · 31% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Napoli |
| Sassuolo 3–2 Juventus | 1.02–1.10 | 33% · 30% · 37% | Close call, Sassuolo won |
| Como 2–1 Parma | 2.98–1.15 | 74% · 14% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Torino 0–2 AS Roma | 0.86–1.85 | 17% · 22% · 61% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| Inter 5–3 Udinese | 3.05–0.92 | 80% · 12% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Inter |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.