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10 of 10 matches with xG: 34 goals from 28.7 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna 2–1 Monza | 2.10–1.84 | 45% · 21% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Bologna |
| Udinese 2–5 AS Roma | 1.85–2.82 | 24% · 17% · 58% | Win in line with xG for AS Roma |
| AC Milan 3–1 Inter | 0.70–1.74 | 15% · 23% · 62% | Won against the xG: AC Milan |
| Como 1–0 Venezia | 1.63–0.23 | 73% · 22% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Como |
| Frosinone 2–0 Torino | 1.93–0.68 | 67% · 21% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Frosinone |
| Lazio 2–1 Cagliari | 1.03–1.10 | 33% · 30% · 37% | Close call, Lazio won |
| Lecce 1–2 Genoa | 1.23–1.36 | 34% · 26% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Genoa |
| Juventus 2–0 Napoli | 0.87–0.58 | 40% · 37% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Juventus |
| Sassuolo 2–4 Fiorentina | 1.02–2.41 | 14% · 18% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Fiorentina |
| Atalanta 0–3 Parma | 3.02–0.52 | 87% · 10% · 4% | Won against the xG: Parma |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.