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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 27.4 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cremonese 2–0 Benevento | 2.41–1.06 | 67% · 18% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Cremonese |
| Modena 1–1 Mantova | 1.36–0.64 | 54% · 28% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Modena had 54% |
| Sudtirol 1–1 Cesena | 1.43–2.97 | 16% · 15% · 69% | Draw against the xG: Cesena had 69% |
| Catanzaro 1–1 Padova | 1.77–0.39 | 72% · 21% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Catanzaro had 72% |
| Sampdoria 2–0 Virtus Entella | 0.86–0.80 | 34% · 35% · 31% | Close call, Sampdoria won |
| Arezzo 0–0 Ascoli | 0.95–0.62 | 42% · 35% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| Avellino 2–0 Pisa | 1.86–1.00 | 58% · 22% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Avellino |
| Empoli 2–2 Juve Stabia | 1.72–1.28 | 48% · 24% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hellas Verona 3–0 Carrarese | 1.22–0.98 | 42% · 29% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Hellas Verona |
| Palermo 3–1 Vicenza Virtus | 2.83–1.23 | 71% · 15% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Palermo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.