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9 of 9 matches with xG: 18 goals from 22.1 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu | 2.35–0.56 | 78% · 15% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Nagoya Grampus had 78% |
| Consadole Sapporo 2–1 Yokohama FC | 2.56–2.09 | 49% · 19% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Consadole Sapporo |
| Kashima 0–0 Urawa | 0.49–0.59 | 24% · 45% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Vissel Kobe | 1.28–2.02 | 24% · 21% · 55% | Draw against the xG: Vissel Kobe had 55% |
| Kyoto Sanga 0–1 Albirex Niigata | 1.14–0.87 | 42% · 30% · 28% | Close call, Albirex Niigata won |
| Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Gamba Osaka | 1.01–0.54 | 46% · 34% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Cerezo Osaka |
| Avispa Fukuoka 0–4 Yokohama F. Marinos | 0.78–0.90 | 30% · 34% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Yokohama F. Marinos |
| FC Tokyo 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0.92–1.71 | 20% · 24% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale | 1.28–1.01 | 43% · 28% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.