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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 25.6 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consadole Sapporo 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.51–0.37 | 66% · 25% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Consadole Sapporo had 66% |
| Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus | 1.99–2.71 | 28% · 18% · 54% | Won against the xG: Shonan Bellmare |
| Albirex Niigata 0–0 FC Tokyo | 1.08–0.18 | 60% · 34% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Albirex Niigata had 60% |
| Kashima 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol | 2.35–2.05 | 46% · 19% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Gamba Osaka 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka | 1.71–1.98 | 34% · 21% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Avispa Fukuoka |
| Sagan Tosu 1–3 Yokohama FC | 0.29–1.65 | 6% · 22% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Yokohama FC |
| Kawasaki Frontale 3–3 Kyoto Sanga | 3.04–0.71 | 83% · 11% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Kawasaki Frontale had 83% |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 2–0 Cerezo Osaka | 1.68–0.56 | 65% · 23% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Yokohama F. Marinos |
| Urawa 1–2 Vissel Kobe | 0.73–1.00 | 26% · 33% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.