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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 24.8 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale 3–0 Kashima | 1.50–1.49 | 38% · 24% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Kawasaki Frontale |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 0–0 Albirex Niigata | 0.90–1.43 | 24% · 27% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Urawa 2–3 Avispa Fukuoka | 2.24–1.07 | 64% · 19% · 17% | Won against the xG: Avispa Fukuoka |
| Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu | 1.46–1.01 | 48% · 26% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Tokyo 1–3 Consadole Sapporo | 1.46–2.40 | 23% · 19% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Consadole Sapporo |
| Yokohama FC 0–1 Shonan Bellmare | 0.74–0.91 | 28% · 34% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Shonan Bellmare |
| Cerezo Osaka 0–1 Kyoto Sanga | 0.97–1.00 | 34% · 31% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Kyoto Sanga |
| Vissel Kobe 2–1 Nagoya Grampus | 1.47–2.70 | 19% · 17% · 64% | Won against the xG: Vissel Kobe |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka | 1.81–0.25 | 76% · 19% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.