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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 29.5 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 Jubilo Iwata | 4.06–0.74 | 91% · 6% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Yokohama F. Marinos had 91% |
| Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0.45–1.56 | 10% · 25% · 65% | Draw against the xG: Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 65% |
| Kashima 3–1 Shonan Bellmare | 1.76–3.29 | 18% · 15% · 67% | Won against the xG: Kashima |
| FC Tokyo 2–1 Kyoto Sanga | 0.93–1.69 | 21% · 24% · 55% | Won against the xG: FC Tokyo |
| Machida Zelvia 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol | 0.86–0.69 | 37% · 36% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Machida Zelvia |
| Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Consadole Sapporo | 1.89–1.32 | 51% · 22% · 27% | Draw against the xG: Cerezo Osaka had 51% |
| Sagan Tosu 0–2 Tokyo Verdy | 1.66–2.13 | 30% · 21% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Tokyo Verdy |
| Kawasaki Frontale 3–1 Urawa | 2.29–0.97 | 67% · 18% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Kawasaki Frontale |
| Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Gamba Osaka | 0.66–0.41 | 36% · 44% · 20% | Close call, Avispa Fukuoka won |
| Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Vissel Kobe | 1.03–1.15 | 32% · 29% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.