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10 of 10 matches with xG: 33 goals from 27.6 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tokyo Verdy 3–2 Jubilo Iwata | 3.02–1.55 | 67% · 16% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Tokyo Verdy |
| Vissel Kobe 3–2 Albirex Niigata | 2.04–1.59 | 48% · 21% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
| Gamba Osaka 1–0 Cerezo Osaka | 1.78–0.36 | 73% · 21% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Gamba Osaka |
| Consadole Sapporo 1–2 FC Tokyo | 0.54–1.90 | 10% · 20% · 70% | Win in line with xG for FC Tokyo |
| Kyoto Sanga 0–3 Machida Zelvia | 0.25–1.83 | 4% · 19% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Machida Zelvia |
| Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale | 1.08–0.92 | 39% · 31% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus | 1.31–1.77 | 28% · 23% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Nagoya Grampus |
| Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Kashima | 2.10–1.92 | 43% · 21% · 36% | Close call, Kashima won |
| Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu | 0.91–1.27 | 27% · 29% · 45% | Won against the xG: Shonan Bellmare |
| Urawa 2–1 Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.00–0.45 | 48% · 35% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Urawa |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.