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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 24.5 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kashima 3–0 Sagan Tosu | 2.10–0.73 | 69% · 19% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Kashima |
| Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.57–1.04 | 50% · 25% · 25% | Won against the xG: Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| Kawasaki Frontale 3–0 Vissel Kobe | 1.83–0.50 | 70% · 21% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Kawasaki Frontale |
| Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka | 0.98–1.13 | 31% · 30% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Albirex Niigata 2–2 Jubilo Iwata | 1.61–0.92 | 54% · 25% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Albirex Niigata had 54% |
| Kyoto Sanga 3–2 Nagoya Grampus | 1.56–1.38 | 42% · 24% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Kyoto Sanga |
| Gamba Osaka 0–0 FC Tokyo | 1.80–0.50 | 69% · 21% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Gamba Osaka had 69% |
| Cerezo Osaka 0–0 Machida Zelvia | 0.24–1.21 | 7% · 31% · 62% | Draw against the xG: Machida Zelvia had 62% |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 3–2 Consadole Sapporo | 2.05–1.25 | 56% · 21% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Yokohama F. Marinos |
| Urawa 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol | 1.79–0.32 | 74% · 20% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Urawa |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.