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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 25.1 xG (0.76 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia 1–0 Kashima | 1.33–0.30 | 64% · 28% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Machida Zelvia |
| Albirex Niigata 1–0 Nagoya Grampus | 1.02–0.54 | 47% · 34% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Albirex Niigata |
| Jubilo Iwata 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol | 1.20–1.93 | 24% · 22% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Kashiwa Reysol |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu | 3.79–0.18 | 96% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Shonan Bellmare | 0.99–1.45 | 26% · 27% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Tokyo 1–2 Vissel Kobe | 0.48–1.67 | 10% · 23% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
| Kawasaki Frontale 0–1 Kyoto Sanga | 1.40–1.40 | 37% · 25% · 37% | Close call, Kyoto Sanga won |
| Cerezo Osaka 2–1 Tokyo Verdy | 1.85–0.68 | 65% · 22% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Cerezo Osaka |
| Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Urawa | 1.04–0.96 | 37% · 31% · 32% | Close call, Urawa won |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 2–0 Gamba Osaka | 1.57–1.31 | 43% · 25% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Yokohama F. Marinos |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.