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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 26.0 xG (1.23 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale 3–2 Sagan Tosu | 2.29–2.65 | 35% · 18% · 47% | Close call, Kawasaki Frontale won |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 1–2 Kyoto Sanga | 0.65–2.08 | 10% · 19% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Kyoto Sanga |
| Vissel Kobe 2–1 Cerezo Osaka | 1.37–0.77 | 51% · 28% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
| Consadole Sapporo 0–2 Tokyo Verdy | 1.15–1.38 | 31% · 27% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Tokyo Verdy |
| Kashima 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0.89–2.61 | 10% · 15% · 74% | Draw against the xG: Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 74% |
| Avispa Fukuoka 0–3 Machida Zelvia | 0.95–0.87 | 36% · 33% · 32% | Close call, Machida Zelvia won |
| Kashiwa Reysol 0–2 Jubilo Iwata | 0.57–1.04 | 20% · 34% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Jubilo Iwata |
| FC Tokyo 4–1 Nagoya Grampus | 2.81–0.61 | 83% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for FC Tokyo |
| Albirex Niigata 3–1 Shonan Bellmare | 1.34–0.59 | 55% · 28% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Albirex Niigata |
| Gamba Osaka 0–1 Urawa | 1.03–0.35 | 52% · 35% · 12% | Won against the xG: Urawa |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.