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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 33.9 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tokyo Verdy 2–2 Kyoto Sanga | 1.41–0.82 | 51% · 27% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Tokyo Verdy had 51% |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Gamba Osaka | 1.68–1.91 | 34% · 22% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Albirex Niigata 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol | 0.99–2.81 | 11% · 14% · 75% | Draw against the xG: Kashiwa Reysol had 75% |
| Vissel Kobe 6–1 Consadole Sapporo | 3.83–0.65 | 91% · 6% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
| Kashima 1–0 Jubilo Iwata | 1.70–2.03 | 33% · 21% · 46% | Close call, Kashima won |
| Urawa 2–1 Avispa Fukuoka | 3.37–0.22 | 94% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Urawa |
| Machida Zelvia 3–1 Sagan Tosu | 2.36–0.76 | 73% · 17% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Machida Zelvia |
| Kawasaki Frontale 3–0 FC Tokyo | 2.13–0.05 | 87% · 13% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Kawasaki Frontale |
| Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.54–1.75 | 34% · 23% · 43% | Close call, Nagoya Grampus won |
| Cerezo Osaka 2–0 Shonan Bellmare | 2.11–1.74 | 47% · 21% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Cerezo Osaka |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.