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10 of 10 matches with xG: 17 goals from 26.3 xG (0.65 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Cerezo Osaka | 2.26–1.42 | 56% · 20% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Kashiwa Reysol had 56% |
| Machida Zelvia 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0.23–1.74 | 4% · 20% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 0–0 Kawasaki Frontale | 1.67–1.55 | 41% · 23% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Shonan Bellmare 1–2 Tokyo Verdy | 1.54–0.63 | 59% · 25% · 15% | Won against the xG: Tokyo Verdy |
| Jubilo Iwata 2–0 Albirex Niigata | 2.20–1.30 | 58% · 20% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Jubilo Iwata |
| Gamba Osaka 0–0 Kyoto Sanga | 3.09–0.69 | 84% · 10% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Gamba Osaka had 84% |
| Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Kashima | 0.34–0.82 | 14% · 41% · 45% | Won against the xG: Avispa Fukuoka |
| Sagan Tosu 0–0 Vissel Kobe | 0.52–1.21 | 16% · 31% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Vissel Kobe had 53% |
| Consadole Sapporo 1–2 Nagoya Grampus | 0.88–1.80 | 18% · 23% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Nagoya Grampus |
| FC Tokyo 2–1 Urawa | 1.62–0.78 | 57% · 25% · 18% | Win in line with xG for FC Tokyo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.