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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 25.2 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 Urawa | 1.53–0.51 | 63% · 25% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Kashiwa Reysol |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 2–2 Shonan Bellmare | 1.86–0.91 | 60% · 22% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Yokohama F. Marinos had 60% |
| Albirex Niigata 1–1 Consadole Sapporo | 0.93–1.00 | 32% · 31% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Jubilo Iwata 0–1 Nagoya Grampus | 0.99–0.55 | 45% · 35% · 20% | Won against the xG: Nagoya Grampus |
| Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0.87–0.77 | 35% · 35% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kashima 1–0 Kyoto Sanga | 2.25–0.53 | 77% · 16% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Kashima |
| Machida Zelvia 1–2 Vissel Kobe | 1.29–1.91 | 26% · 22% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
| Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Kawasaki Frontale | 1.77–0.74 | 62% · 23% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Cerezo Osaka |
| Tokyo Verdy 2–2 FC Tokyo | 1.13–1.04 | 38% · 29% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu | 3.66–0.92 | 86% · 9% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Gamba Osaka |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.