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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 25.5 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0.66–2.16 | 10% · 18% · 72% | Draw against the xG: Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 72% |
| Kyoto Sanga 0–1 Albirex Niigata | 0.93–1.15 | 29% · 30% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Albirex Niigata |
| Sagan Tosu 4–2 Kashima | 2.00–1.63 | 47% · 21% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Sagan Tosu |
| Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Vissel Kobe | 0.64–1.25 | 19% · 30% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
| Avispa Fukuoka 2–2 Jubilo Iwata | 0.85–0.80 | 34% · 35% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Urawa 0–1 Gamba Osaka | 0.95–0.46 | 46% · 36% · 17% | Won against the xG: Gamba Osaka |
| Kawasaki Frontale 0–0 Tokyo Verdy | 0.78–1.64 | 18% · 24% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Tokyo Verdy had 58% |
| FC Tokyo 1–2 Machida Zelvia | 2.16–0.45 | 77% · 16% · 6% | Won against the xG: Machida Zelvia |
| Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Cerezo Osaka | 1.17–1.72 | 26% · 24% · 50% | Won against the xG: Nagoya Grampus |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 4–0 Kashiwa Reysol | 2.83–1.25 | 70% · 16% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Yokohama F. Marinos |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.