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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 25.0 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albirex Niigata 1–2 Kyoto Sanga | 2.57–0.77 | 76% · 15% · 9% | Won against the xG: Kyoto Sanga |
| Yokohama FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka | 0.62–0.56 | 31% · 42% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Shimizu S-pulse 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka | 0.85–2.10 | 14% · 20% · 66% | Won against the xG: Shimizu S-pulse |
| Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0.34–1.38 | 9% · 27% · 64% | Won against the xG: Nagoya Grampus |
| Vissel Kobe 1–0 Machida Zelvia | 0.62–1.93 | 11% · 20% · 69% | Won against the xG: Vissel Kobe |
| Fagiano Okayama 1–2 Kashima | 1.18–1.77 | 25% · 23% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Kashima |
| Kawasaki Frontale 0–0 Tokyo Verdy | 1.20–0.20 | 63% · 31% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Kawasaki Frontale had 63% |
| Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol | 1.19–1.60 | 28% · 25% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Kashiwa Reysol |
| Cerezo Osaka 1–1 FC Tokyo | 2.24–1.42 | 56% · 20% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Cerezo Osaka had 56% |
| Urawa 3–1 Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.23–1.23 | 36% · 27% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Urawa |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.