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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 23.2 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F. Marinos 2–3 Shimizu S-pulse | 1.12–1.04 | 37% · 29% · 33% | Close call, Shimizu S-pulse won |
| Vissel Kobe 2–1 Kawasaki Frontale | 1.17–0.47 | 54% · 32% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
| Kashima 1–0 Nagoya Grampus | 0.82–0.98 | 29% · 33% · 38% | Close call, Kashima won |
| Tokyo Verdy 1–0 Cerezo Osaka | 2.42–1.65 | 55% · 19% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Tokyo Verdy |
| Machida Zelvia 0–1 Shonan Bellmare | 1.40–0.96 | 47% · 27% · 26% | Won against the xG: Shonan Bellmare |
| Kyoto Sanga 2–1 Yokohama FC | 0.51–1.43 | 13% · 27% · 60% | Won against the xG: Kyoto Sanga |
| Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Fagiano Okayama | 0.76–1.48 | 19% · 26% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Fagiano Okayama had 54% |
| Urawa 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.52–1.12 | 46% · 26% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Urawa |
| FC Tokyo 3–0 Gamba Osaka | 1.20–0.76 | 46% · 30% · 23% | Win in line with xG for FC Tokyo |
| Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Albirex Niigata | 1.00–1.38 | 27% · 27% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.