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10 of 10 matches with xG: 18 goals from 27.1 xG (0.66 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albirex Niigata 0–0 Nagoya Grampus | 1.11–0.12 | 63% · 33% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Albirex Niigata had 63% |
| Kashima 3–1 Cerezo Osaka | 2.17–1.69 | 49% · 21% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Kashima |
| FC Tokyo 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka | 0.99–0.33 | 52% · 36% · 12% | Win in line with xG for FC Tokyo |
| Shimizu S-pulse 0–0 Urawa | 0.65–3.23 | 4% · 9% · 86% | Draw against the xG: Urawa had 86% |
| Fagiano Okayama 0–0 Yokohama FC | 0.95–0.24 | 53% · 38% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Fagiano Okayama had 53% |
| Kashiwa Reysol 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.25–1.29 | 36% · 27% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Shonan Bellmare 1–2 Kawasaki Frontale | 0.55–3.84 | 2% · 6% · 92% | Win in line with xG for Kawasaki Frontale |
| Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Machida Zelvia | 2.36–0.89 | 70% · 17% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Kyoto Sanga had 70% |
| Gamba Osaka 3–1 Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.32–1.09 | 42% · 27% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Gamba Osaka |
| Vissel Kobe 4–0 Tokyo Verdy | 2.39–0.62 | 77% · 15% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.