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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 29.4 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kashima 2–1 Yokohama FC | 0.94–0.89 | 35% · 33% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Kashima |
| Tokyo Verdy 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka | 0.90–0.72 | 38% · 35% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Fagiano Okayama | 2.08–0.70 | 70% · 19% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Kawasaki Frontale had 70% |
| Shonan Bellmare 5–2 Albirex Niigata | 2.32–1.38 | 58% · 19% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Shonan Bellmare |
| Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 Nagoya Grampus | 0.35–0.74 | 16% · 43% · 41% | Won against the xG: Kashiwa Reysol |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Urawa | 4.55–0.46 | 96% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| Machida Zelvia 0–1 FC Tokyo | 1.48–0.79 | 54% · 26% · 20% | Won against the xG: FC Tokyo |
| Kyoto Sanga 0–3 Yokohama F. Marinos | 0.73–2.77 | 7% · 13% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Yokohama F. Marinos |
| Shimizu S-pulse 1–4 Cerezo Osaka | 2.44–3.31 | 28% · 16% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Cerezo Osaka |
| Gamba Osaka 1–1 Vissel Kobe | 0.68–1.21 | 21% · 30% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.