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J1 League 2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 1

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Matches

Matchday 1 in xG

10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 29.1 xG (1.03 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Vissel Kobe1.35–1.0444% · 27% · 29%Draw in line with xG
V-varen Nagasaki 1–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.88–1.9638% · 21% · 41%Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Yokohama F. Marinos 2–3 Machida Zelvia2.26–0.8669% · 18% · 13%Won against the xG: Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba 0–2 Urawa1.01–3.059% · 13% · 78%Win in line with xG for Urawa
FC Tokyo 1–1 Kashima2.45–1.0867% · 18% · 15%Draw against the xG: FC Tokyo had 67%
Cerezo Osaka 0–0 Gamba Osaka0.26–1.268% · 30% · 63%Draw against the xG: Gamba Osaka had 63%
Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Fagiano Okayama0.69–0.4935% · 42% · 23%Draw in line with xG
Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shimizu S-pulse1.43–0.7254% · 27% · 19%Win in line with xG for Nagoya Grampus
Kawasaki Frontale 5–3 Kashiwa Reysol2.03–3.9516% · 13% · 72%Won against the xG: Kawasaki Frontale
Tokyo Verdy 3–1 Mito Hollyhock0.83–0.5240% · 38% · 21%Win in line with xG for Tokyo Verdy

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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