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10 of 10 matches with xG: 18 goals from 22.9 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vissel Kobe 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki | 1.28–0.23 | 64% · 29% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
| Machida Zelvia 2–2 Mito Hollyhock | 1.34–1.76 | 29% · 23% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Fagiano Okayama | 0.82–0.50 | 40% · 39% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Kyoto Sanga | 1.74–0.37 | 71% · 21% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Shimizu S-pulse had 71% |
| FC Tokyo 1–1 Urawa | 1.69–1.34 | 46% · 24% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kashima 1–0 Yokohama F. Marinos | 0.39–1.12 | 13% · 33% · 54% | Won against the xG: Kashima |
| JEF United Chiba 0–0 Kawasaki Frontale | 1.92–1.70 | 44% · 22% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Tokyo Verdy | 1.34–0.72 | 52% · 28% · 20% | Won against the xG: Tokyo Verdy |
| Avispa Fukuoka 0–2 Cerezo Osaka | 0.61–0.98 | 22% · 35% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Cerezo Osaka |
| Gamba Osaka 0–0 Nagoya Grampus | 1.16–1.85 | 24% · 23% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Nagoya Grampus had 54% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.