Virsliga 2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 33

Matchday 33 in xG

4 of 5 matches with xG: 13 goals from 13.5 xG (0.96 goals per xG).

• Biggest win against the xG: BFC Daugavpils 2–1 Auda (xG 1.08–2.53). The winner had 14% on xG.
• Win most in line with xG: Rīgas FS 2–0 Tukums (xG 2.58–0.22). The winner had 88% on xG.
• Most xG: Grobiņa 3–2 Ogre United (xG 2.31–2.10). 4.41 xG in all.
• Most one-sided: Rīgas FS 2–0 Tukums (xG 2.58–0.22). An xG gap of 2.36.
• Most goals above xG: BFC Daugavpils, +0.92 goals above xG.
• Most goals below xG: Auda, -1.53 goals below xG.

Every match

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 32 · Matchday 34