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5 of 10 matches with xG: 14 goals from 19.1 xG (0.73 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waalwijk 2–2 Jong Utrecht | 1.32–2.73 | 16% · 17% · 67% | Draw against the xG: Jong Utrecht had 67% |
| Roda 2–2 VVV Venlo | 3.93–2.42 | 65% · 14% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Roda had 65% |
| De Graafschap 1–1 Den Bosch | 2.06–1.81 | 44% · 21% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| MVV 1–1 Almere City FC | 0.55–1.65 | 12% · 24% · 64% | Draw against the xG: Almere City FC had 64% |
| Vitesse 1–1 FC Eindhoven | 1.47–1.21 | 43% · 26% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.