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5 of 10 matches with xG: 17 goals from 14.8 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City FC 2–2 Waalwijk | 0.49–0.61 | 24% · 44% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| ADO Den Haag 1–0 Jong Utrecht | 1.23–0.16 | 65% · 30% · 5% | Win in line with xG for ADO Den Haag |
| Dordrecht 2–2 FC OSS | 2.29–1.32 | 59% · 20% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Dordrecht had 59% |
| VVV Venlo 0–1 Jong Ajax | 2.87–1.85 | 59% · 17% · 24% | Won against the xG: Jong Ajax |
| Cambuur 3–4 Jong AZ | 2.65–1.33 | 66% · 17% · 17% | Won against the xG: Jong AZ |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.