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4 of 10 matches with xG: 16 goals from 14.6 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Helmond Sport 2–2 Waalwijk | 0.59–2.01 | 10% · 19% · 71% | Draw against the xG: Waalwijk had 71% |
| FC OSS 3–1 Jong Utrecht | 2.61–2.23 | 47% · 18% · 34% | Win in line with xG for FC OSS |
| Vitesse 6–1 Jong Ajax | 3.43–1.30 | 77% · 12% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Vitesse |
| Jong PSV U21 1–0 VVV Venlo | 1.19–1.21 | 36% · 28% · 37% | Close call, Jong PSV U21 won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.