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5 of 10 matches with xG: 12 goals from 15.9 xG (0.76 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Den Bosch 1–1 Cambuur | 2.29–2.24 | 41% · 19% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Eindhoven 1–3 Roda | 1.37–3.23 | 13% · 14% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Roda |
| MVV 0–0 Helmond Sport | 0.66–0.38 | 37% · 45% · 18% | Draw in line with xG |
| Waalwijk 5–0 Emmen | 2.29–1.35 | 59% · 20% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Waalwijk |
| Dordrecht 1–0 ADO Den Haag | 1.71–0.35 | 71% · 22% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Dordrecht |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.