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10 of 10 matches with xG: 34 goals from 34.6 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City FC 4–1 Dordrecht | 2.61–1.08 | 70% · 16% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Almere City FC |
| De Graafschap 3–1 Cambuur | 2.48–0.94 | 71% · 17% · 12% | Win in line with xG for De Graafschap |
| ADO Den Haag 5–1 Waalwijk | 3.49–1.93 | 67% · 14% · 18% | Win in line with xG for ADO Den Haag |
| Helmond Sport 2–0 VVV Venlo | 1.37–0.91 | 48% · 28% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Helmond Sport |
| Jong PSV U21 0–1 Jong Ajax | 1.25–1.04 | 41% · 28% · 31% | Close call, Jong Ajax won |
| Jong Utrecht 3–0 FC Eindhoven | 2.87–2.32 | 51% · 18% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Jong Utrecht |
| FC OSS 4–2 Den Bosch | 1.64–1.47 | 42% · 24% · 34% | Win in line with xG for FC OSS |
| Roda 2–2 Emmen | 2.05–1.56 | 49% · 21% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vitesse 0–0 MVV | 1.64–0.83 | 57% · 25% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Vitesse had 57% |
| Willem II 3–0 Jong AZ | 1.98–1.13 | 57% · 22% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Willem II |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.