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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 32.1 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dordrecht 2–1 Jong Ajax | 1.60–2.30 | 27% · 20% · 54% | Won against the xG: Dordrecht |
| Emmen 1–0 Roda | 1.07–1.24 | 32% · 28% · 40% | Close call, Emmen won |
| FC OSS 1–2 NAC Breda | 2.09–2.44 | 34% · 19% · 47% | Win in line with xG for NAC Breda |
| VVV Venlo 3–4 Heracles | 0.88–3.92 | 4% · 7% · 89% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
| Vitesse 1–1 Waalwijk | 1.78–1.75 | 40% · 22% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Den Bosch 1–1 Almere City FC | 1.32–2.24 | 22% · 20% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Almere City FC had 58% |
| Helmond Sport 1–1 De Graafschap | 0.95–1.57 | 23% · 25% · 52% | Draw against the xG: De Graafschap had 52% |
| MVV 2–1 Jong Utrecht | 1.27–0.81 | 47% · 29% · 24% | Win in line with xG for MVV |
| Jong AZ 0–1 FC Eindhoven | 0.83–1.24 | 25% · 29% · 46% | Win in line with xG for FC Eindhoven |
| Jong PSV U21 3–2 FC Volendam | 2.55–0.30 | 86% · 11% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Jong PSV U21 |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.