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10 of 10 matches with xG: 47 goals from 35.8 xG (1.31 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City FC 3–1 Jong PSV U21 | 0.85–1.93 | 16% · 21% · 63% | Won against the xG: Almere City FC |
| FC Eindhoven 2–3 MVV | 1.25–2.88 | 14% · 15% · 71% | Win in line with xG for MVV |
| Heracles 3–2 Den Bosch | 2.31–2.51 | 37% · 19% · 44% | Close call, Heracles won |
| NAC Breda 0–2 VVV Venlo | 1.73–1.06 | 53% · 24% · 23% | Won against the xG: VVV Venlo |
| Roda 2–1 Helmond Sport | 2.76–0.23 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Roda |
| Waalwijk 2–2 Dordrecht | 1.12–0.92 | 40% · 30% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Volendam 3–0 FC OSS | 2.27–0.77 | 71% · 18% · 11% | Win in line with xG for FC Volendam |
| De Graafschap 2–5 Jong AZ | 1.68–2.86 | 21% · 17% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Jong AZ |
| Jong Ajax 4–6 Emmen | 1.45–3.79 | 10% · 11% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Emmen |
| Jong Utrecht 1–3 Vitesse | 0.45–2.98 | 3% · 9% · 87% | Win in line with xG for Vitesse |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.