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10 of 10 matches with xG: 34 goals from 27.3 xG (1.25 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Den Bosch 5–2 FC Eindhoven | 2.75–0.74 | 79% · 13% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Den Bosch |
| Dordrecht 0–1 Roda | 1.15–1.03 | 38% · 29% · 32% | Close call, Roda won |
| Emmen 3–1 Jong AZ | 1.58–0.96 | 52% · 25% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Emmen |
| Helmond Sport 1–1 Waalwijk | 0.75–0.74 | 32% · 37% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| MVV 1–0 FC Volendam | 0.98–1.05 | 33% · 31% · 37% | Close call, MVV won |
| Vitesse 0–3 Almere City FC | 1.57–1.65 | 37% · 23% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Almere City FC |
| NAC Breda 3–2 Jong Ajax | 2.29–1.46 | 56% · 20% · 24% | Win in line with xG for NAC Breda |
| VVV Venlo 2–1 De Graafschap | 1.26–0.84 | 46% · 29% · 25% | Win in line with xG for VVV Venlo |
| Jong PSV U21 1–0 FC OSS | 1.31–1.14 | 40% · 27% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Jong PSV U21 |
| Jong Utrecht 1–6 Heracles | 1.89–2.15 | 35% · 20% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.