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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 28.1 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City FC 3–0 FC Eindhoven | 2.79–0.46 | 85% · 11% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Almere City FC |
| De Graafschap 2–1 Jong Utrecht | 1.59–1.61 | 38% · 23% · 39% | Close call, De Graafschap won |
| Dordrecht 0–3 Emmen | 1.05–1.25 | 31% · 28% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Emmen |
| FC Volendam 2–0 Vitesse | 1.07–1.25 | 32% · 28% · 40% | Close call, FC Volendam won |
| Heracles 3–0 Waalwijk | 2.47–0.75 | 75% · 16% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
| Jong Ajax 0–3 VVV Venlo | 1.40–2.39 | 22% · 19% · 59% | Win in line with xG for VVV Venlo |
| Jong AZ 0–1 Den Bosch | 0.85–0.94 | 31% · 33% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Den Bosch |
| NAC Breda 1–0 MVV | 0.72–0.28 | 42% · 45% · 13% | Close call, NAC Breda won |
| FC OSS 3–1 Helmond Sport | 2.78–1.48 | 65% · 17% · 18% | Win in line with xG for FC OSS |
| Roda 1–1 Jong PSV U21 | 1.60–1.33 | 44% · 24% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.