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6 of 10 matches with xG: 18 goals from 18.7 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV U21 1–1 Jong AZ | 1.93–0.94 | 61% · 22% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Jong PSV U21 had 61% |
| Jong Utrecht 6–1 Jong Ajax | 1.94–1.68 | 44% · 22% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Jong Utrecht |
| Helmond Sport 2–2 Heracles | 1.58–2.06 | 30% · 21% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Almere City FC 1–0 FC Volendam | 2.19–1.04 | 64% · 20% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Almere City FC |
| Den Bosch 1–1 Dordrecht | 1.68–0.84 | 57% · 24% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Den Bosch had 57% |
| Waalwijk 1–1 Emmen | 1.09–1.77 | 23% · 23% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Emmen had 53% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.