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8 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 23.8 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Eindhoven 2–1 Dordrecht | 0.63–1.68 | 14% · 24% · 63% | Won against the xG: FC Eindhoven |
| Emmen 1–2 De Graafschap | 3.31–1.50 | 72% · 14% · 14% | Won against the xG: De Graafschap |
| Helmond Sport 3–1 Jong PSV U21 | 2.00–0.72 | 67% · 20% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Helmond Sport |
| MVV 0–4 Almere City FC | 0.57–2.58 | 6% · 13% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Almere City FC |
| NAC Breda 2–3 Jong Utrecht | 1.91–0.67 | 67% · 21% · 12% | Won against the xG: Jong Utrecht |
| VVV Venlo 3–1 FC OSS | 1.61–1.52 | 40% · 24% · 36% | Win in line with xG for VVV Venlo |
| Roda 1–0 Vitesse | 1.04–0.73 | 42% · 33% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Roda |
| FC Volendam 2–0 Den Bosch | 2.50–0.79 | 75% · 16% · 10% | Win in line with xG for FC Volendam |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.