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10 of 10 matches with xG: 44 goals from 31.8 xG (1.39 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City FC 0–1 Jong Ajax | 3.19–1.18 | 77% · 13% · 10% | Won against the xG: Jong Ajax |
| Emmen 5–3 FC Volendam | 2.72–1.44 | 65% · 17% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Emmen |
| Helmond Sport 4–2 VVV Venlo | 3.53–2.52 | 58% · 15% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Helmond Sport |
| Heracles 5–0 De Graafschap | 2.77–0.64 | 82% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
| Vitesse 2–1 FC OSS | 1.56–0.24 | 71% · 23% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Vitesse |
| Waalwijk 4–2 NAC Breda | 1.64–0.48 | 66% · 23% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Waalwijk |
| Dordrecht 3–6 Jong AZ | 0.90–2.41 | 12% · 17% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Jong AZ |
| MVV 1–1 Roda | 1.39–0.92 | 48% · 27% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Jong PSV U21 3–1 Den Bosch | 0.92–1.07 | 31% · 31% · 39% | Close call, Jong PSV U21 won |
| Jong Utrecht 0–0 FC Eindhoven | 1.09–1.15 | 34% · 29% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.