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9 of 9 matches with xG: 35 goals from 25.6 xG (1.37 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Volendam 1–2 Vitesse | 0.76–1.42 | 20% · 27% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Vitesse |
| PSV Eindhoven 2–0 Utrecht | 1.63–0.71 | 59% · 24% · 16% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Heerenveen 3–1 Waalwijk | 1.25–2.22 | 21% · 20% · 59% | Won against the xG: Heerenveen |
| Ajax 4–1 Heracles | 3.53–0.89 | 85% · 9% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| PEC Zwolle 1–2 Sparta Rotterdam | 1.21–1.36 | 33% · 26% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam |
| NEC Nijmegen 3–4 Excelsior | 0.81–1.28 | 24% · 29% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Excelsior |
| Feyenoord 0–0 Fortuna Sittard | 1.35–1.16 | 41% · 27% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| AZ Alkmaar 5–1 Go Ahead Eagles | 3.16–0.59 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Almere City FC 1–4 Twente | 0.56–1.75 | 11% · 22% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.