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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 26.0 xG (1.27 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles 2–1 NEC Nijmegen | 1.03–1.04 | 35% · 30% · 35% | Close call, Heracles won |
| Excelsior 2–2 Ajax | 1.46–3.09 | 15% · 15% · 70% | Draw against the xG: Ajax had 70% |
| Vitesse 1–3 PSV Eindhoven | 1.96–2.25 | 35% · 20% · 45% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Fortuna Sittard 2–1 Almere City FC | 1.37–0.92 | 47% · 28% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Sittard |
| Go Ahead Eagles 4–1 FC Volendam | 0.54–1.45 | 14% · 27% · 60% | Won against the xG: Go Ahead Eagles |
| Utrecht 0–2 Heerenveen | 0.86–0.50 | 42% · 38% · 20% | Won against the xG: Heerenveen |
| Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 Feyenoord | 0.80–2.09 | 13% · 20% · 67% | Draw against the xG: Feyenoord had 67% |
| Twente 3–1 PEC Zwolle | 1.61–1.81 | 35% · 22% · 43% | Close call, Twente won |
| Waalwijk 1–3 AZ Alkmaar | 1.82–1.39 | 48% · 23% · 29% | Won against the xG: AZ Alkmaar |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.