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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 32.0 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen 3–0 Waalwijk | 2.08–1.26 | 56% · 21% · 23% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| Excelsior 2–2 Fortuna Sittard | 1.71–1.24 | 48% · 24% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| PEC Zwolle 1–0 Utrecht | 1.15–0.36 | 56% · 32% · 12% | Win in line with xG for PEC Zwolle |
| Feyenoord 6–1 Almere City FC | 4.44–1.28 | 87% · 7% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Heerenveen 1–3 Sparta Rotterdam | 2.33–2.07 | 45% · 20% · 35% | Close call, Sparta Rotterdam won |
| PSV Eindhoven 3–0 Go Ahead Eagles | 3.37–0.80 | 85% · 10% · 5% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Twente 1–0 Vitesse | 1.76–1.21 | 50% · 23% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Heracles | 2.66–0.76 | 78% · 14% · 8% | Draw against the xG: AZ Alkmaar had 78% |
| Ajax 2–0 FC Volendam | 2.76–0.80 | 78% · 14% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.