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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 22.7 xG (1.23 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 NEC Nijmegen | 1.97–0.46 | 74% · 19% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Sparta Rotterdam had 74% |
| Almere City FC 1–2 PEC Zwolle | 0.69–0.53 | 34% · 41% · 24% | Close call, PEC Zwolle won |
| Go Ahead Eagles 3–2 Heerenveen | 3.40–1.27 | 78% · 12% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles |
| Waalwijk 0–4 PSV Eindhoven | 0.97–1.74 | 21% · 24% · 55% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Heracles 3–1 Excelsior | 1.35–0.45 | 59% · 28% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
| Utrecht 1–5 Feyenoord | 0.55–4.11 | 2% · 5% · 94% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Fortuna Sittard 0–0 Ajax | 1.41–0.37 | 64% · 27% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Fortuna Sittard had 64% |
| FC Volendam 0–2 Twente | 0.41–1.37 | 11% · 28% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Vitesse 0–2 AZ Alkmaar | 0.15–1.51 | 3% · 24% · 73% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.