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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 30.5 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord 6–1 Heerenveen | 3.24–0.67 | 86% · 9% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Vitesse 0–2 Waalwijk | 0.71–2.00 | 12% · 20% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Waalwijk |
| PSV Eindhoven 4–0 NEC Nijmegen | 5.50–0.24 | 99% · 1% · 0% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Fortuna Sittard 3–1 FC Volendam | 2.70–0.27 | 88% · 10% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Sittard |
| Heracles 1–3 Utrecht | 1.04–1.55 | 25% · 25% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| PEC Zwolle 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles | 2.94–0.98 | 77% · 13% · 10% | Draw against the xG: PEC Zwolle had 77% |
| Twente 3–1 Ajax | 2.80–0.83 | 78% · 13% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Excelsior 0–0 Almere City FC | 0.84–1.95 | 15% · 21% · 63% | Draw against the xG: Almere City FC had 63% |
| AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Sparta Rotterdam | 1.53–0.71 | 57% · 26% · 17% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.