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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 24.2 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Go Ahead Eagles 3–0 Fortuna Sittard | 2.20–1.17 | 61% · 20% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles |
| FC Volendam 2–2 Heracles | 2.08–1.41 | 53% · 21% · 26% | Draw against the xG: FC Volendam had 53% |
| NEC Nijmegen 3–0 Utrecht | 2.34–1.91 | 48% · 20% · 32% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| Almere City FC 0–4 PSV Eindhoven | 0.40–3.53 | 2% · 6% · 92% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Heerenveen 0–3 Excelsior | 0.78–0.91 | 29% · 34% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Excelsior |
| Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 Vitesse | 1.47–0.33 | 66% · 26% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam |
| Waalwijk 1–0 Twente | 0.38–0.53 | 20% · 49% · 31% | Close call, Waalwijk won |
| PEC Zwolle 0–3 AZ Alkmaar | 0.81–0.98 | 29% · 33% · 38% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Ajax 0–4 Feyenoord | 0.30–2.65 | 3% · 10% · 87% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.