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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 25.8 xG (1.16 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord 3–1 Go Ahead Eagles | 3.37–0.33 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Utrecht 0–2 Almere City FC | 0.73–1.96 | 13% · 21% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Almere City FC |
| PSV Eindhoven 3–1 FC Volendam | 3.97–0.80 | 90% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Twente 1–0 Heerenveen | 0.68–0.39 | 38% · 44% · 18% | Close call, Twente won |
| NEC Nijmegen 1–3 Vitesse | 1.11–1.25 | 33% · 28% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Vitesse |
| Excelsior 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam | 1.50–0.44 | 64% · 26% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Excelsior |
| Heracles 2–1 PEC Zwolle | 2.53–1.61 | 58% · 19% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
| AZ Alkmaar 4–0 Fortuna Sittard | 2.29–0.54 | 77% · 16% · 7% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Waalwijk 2–3 Ajax | 0.89–1.44 | 23% · 27% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.