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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 26.5 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle 1–0 Vitesse | 1.67–0.51 | 66% · 23% · 11% | Win in line with xG for PEC Zwolle |
| Waalwijk 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam | 0.32–1.95 | 5% · 18% · 77% | Draw against the xG: Sparta Rotterdam had 77% |
| PSV Eindhoven 2–0 Almere City FC | 2.50–0.24 | 87% · 11% · 2% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Excelsior 1–1 Utrecht | 0.57–1.49 | 14% · 26% · 60% | Draw against the xG: Utrecht had 60% |
| Heracles 2–4 Ajax | 1.01–4.00 | 5% · 8% · 87% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| Heerenveen 2–2 AZ Alkmaar | 1.05–0.77 | 41% · 32% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 NEC Nijmegen | 2.20–2.80 | 31% · 18% · 51% | Draw against the xG: NEC Nijmegen had 51% |
| Feyenoord 0–0 Twente | 3.11–0.44 | 89% · 8% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Feyenoord had 89% |
| FC Volendam 0–1 Fortuna Sittard | 0.42–1.46 | 10% · 26% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Sittard |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.